| 任广伟1;王凤龙1;高汉杰2;王永2.烟草蚜传病毒病的逐步判别分析模型及应用[J].植物保护,2004,30(4):57-60. |
| 烟草蚜传病毒病的逐步判别分析模型及应用 |
| Application of stepwise discrimination analysis to prediction of tobacco virus diseases transmitted by aphids |
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| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 植物保护 烟草蚜传病毒病 逐步判别分析 预测模型 |
| 英文关键词:plant protection tobacco virus disease transmitted by aphids stepwise discrimination prediction model |
| 基金项目: |
| 任广伟1;王凤龙1;高汉杰2;王永2 |
| 1.中国农业科学院烟草研究所 青州 262500;2.山东青州卷烟厂 青州 262500 |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 利用1980-1999年在山东青州调查记载的历年气象数据和烟草蚜传病毒病的病情指数,采用逐步判别分析法建立了烟草蚜传病毒病的预测模型。应用该模型对2000-2002年烟草蚜传病毒病发病情况进行预测,预测准确度较高,拟合率平均为98.7％。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| Based on the database of meteorological factors and tobacco virus diseases transmitted by aphids during 1980 -1999 in Qingzhou of Shandong Province, the prediction models were established by means of stepwise discrimination analysis. The occurrance of tobacco virus diseases transmitted by aphids during 2000 - 2002 was predicted by using the established models. The results showed that the prediction accuracy was 98. 7% . Stepwise discrimination analysis can be used as an effective method for prediction of the trend of tobacco virus diseases transmitted by aphids. |
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